
Russia-African Relations in the Context of Geopolitical Changes
20 July 2022 22:42
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By Kestér Kenn Klomegâh
Russia would have to go beyond its traditional rhetoric of Soviet assistance rendered to Africa. It is important now to highlight concrete success stories and policy achievements, at least, during the past decade in Africa. The young generation and the middle class, aged between 25 to 45 that make the bulk of the 1.3 population, hardly see the broad positive impact of Russia's economic cooperation with Africa.
Russia
plans to hold the second Russia-Africa summit later this year. Sergey
Lavrov, Minister of Foreign Affairs of the Russian Federation, indicated
in mid-June message that "in these difficult and crucial times the
strategic partnership with Africa has become a priority of Russia's
foreign policy. Russia highly appreciates the readiness of Africans to
further step up economic cooperation."
Lavrov
said: "It is in the interests of our peoples to work together to
preserve and expand mutually beneficial trade and investment ties under
these new conditions. It is important to facilitate the mutual access of
Russian and African economic operators to each other's markets and
encourage their participation in large-scale infrastructure projects.
The signed agreements and the results will be consolidated at the
forthcoming second Russia-Africa summit."
The
above statement arguably offers some implications especially discussing
this question of relationship-building. Lavrov has aptly asserted that
within the "emerging and sustainable polycentric architecture of the
world order" relations with Africa is still a priority, but Russians
always close their eyes on the fact that Russia's foreign policy in
Africa has largely failed to pronounce itself, in practical terms, as
evidenced by the countable forays into Africa by Russian officials.
The
Soviet Union was quite extensively engaged with Africa, comparatively.
Russians have only been criticizing other foreign players during the
past two decades without showing any model of building relationship. Its
foreign policy goals are directed simply at sustaining the passion for
signing several MoUs and bilateral agreements with African countries.
During
the past years there have been several symbolic meetings of bilateral
intergovernmental commissions both in Moscow and in Africa. The first
historic summit discussed broadly the priorities and further identified
opportunities for collaboration. It, however, requires understanding the
tasks and the emerging challenges. The current tasks should concretely
focus on actionable strategies towards enhancing the effective
implementation of existing bilateral agreements, taking practical
collaborated actions leading to goal-driven results. Nevertheless,
Lavrov hopes "the signed agreements and the results will be consolidated
at the forthcoming second Russia-Africa summit."
Still,
Russia plays very little role in Africa's infrastructure, agriculture
and industry, and especially making efforts to leverage unto the African
Continental Free Trade Area (AfCFTA). While, given its global status,
it ought to be active in Africa as Western Europe, the European Union,
America and China are, it is all but absent, playing a negligible role,
according to Professor Gerrit Olivier at the Department of Political
Sciences, University of Pretoria, and former South African Ambassador to
the Russian Federation.
Researchers
have been making tangible contributions to the development of African
studies in Russia. This Moscow based Africa Institute has a huge pack of
research materials useful for designing an African agenda. In an
interview, Professor Vladimir Shubin at the Institute for African
Studies, Russian Academy of Sciences reiterated that Russia is not doing
enough to communicate to the broad sectors of the public, particularly
in Africa, true information about its domestic and foreign policies as
well as the accomplishments of Russia's economy, science and technology
to form a positive perception of Russia within the context of the
current global changes of the 21st century.
As
to Russia's involvement, it has undoubtedly a vast experience in
development of projects in Africa accumulated during Soviet times,
building of powerstations and dams or creating of technological training
institutes. What is lacking nowadays is its ability to provide large
investments, according to Shubin, "but Russian expertise and technology
can still be used while carrying out internationally-financed projects
in Africa."
As
to the failures, perhaps, we have to point to the lack of deep
knowledge of African conditions, especially at the initial stage of the
involvement which sometimes resulted in suggesting (or agreeing to)
unrealistic projects, But there are good prospects for reactivating
diversified cooperation, he explained.
Chronological
analysis shows that Russia's politics toward Africa under President
Boris Yeltsin (1991-2001) was described as a lost decade, both in
internal and external affairs, including relations with Africa.
Historical documents further show that after the Soviet collapse there
were approximately 380 projects throughout Africa. In the early 1990s,
Russia swiftly exited, closed a number of diplomatic offices and
abandoned all these, and hardly no sign of Soviet-era infrastructure
projects there.
Policy
statements have indicated strong optimism for raising relations. That
however, at least during the past decade, official reports including
sparkling speeches at high-level conferences, summits and meetings
indicated there are projects being implemented in Africa by such leading
Russian businesses as Rosneft, Lukoil, Rosgeo, Gazprom, Alrosa, Vi
Holding, GPB Global Resources and Renova.
Nevertheless,
it is so common reiterating that Russia has always been on Africa's
side in the fight against colonialism. The frequency of reminding again
and again about Soviet assistance, that was offered more than 60 years
ago, will definitely not facilitate the expected beneficial trade and
investment ties under these new conditions. The United Nations declared
Africa fully independent in 1960, and Organization of African Unity
(OAU) was formed on 25 May 1963 in Addis Ababa, Ethiopia.
Afreximbank
President and Chairman of the Board of Directors, Dr. Benedict Okey
Oramah, says Russian officials "keep reminding us about Soviet era" but
the emotional link has simply not been used in transforming relations.
Oramah said one of Russia's major advantages was the goodwill. He
remarked that even young people in Africa knew how Russia helped African
people fight for independence. "So an emotional link is there," he told
Inter-Tass News Agency.
The
biggest thing that happened in Africa was the establishment of the
African Continental Free Trade Area (AfCFTA). That is a huge
game-changer, and steps have been made lately in the African countries
for creating better conditions for business development and shaping
attractive investment climate. "Sometimes, it is difficult to understand
why the Russians are not taking advantage of it? We have the Chinese,
we have the Americans, we have the Germans who are operating
projects…That is a very, very promising area," Oramah said in his
interview last year.
Ahead
of Sochi summit 2019, Oramah presented a report to a special business
conference that ran from 18 to 22 June, the same year, and listed
spheres for possible cooperation such as finances, energy, mining,
railway infrastructure, digital technologies, cybersecurity, healthcare,
education, food security in Africa.
That
conference saw several agreements signed including between the African
Export-Import Bank (Afreximbank) and Sinara-Transport Machines JSC
(STM), Transmash Holding JSC, Russian Export Center JSC, Avelar Solar
Technology LLC, Chelyabinsk Pipe Plant PJSC, Kolon World Investment, and
Opaia SA and the Roscongress Foundation. As far back in 2017, the
Russian Export Center became Afreximbank's third largest non-African
shareholding financial organization shareholder, and expected to
contribute to the acceleration of investment, trade, and economic
relations between Russia and African countries.
Interesting
to note here that Russian business community hardly pays attention to
the significance of African Continental Free Trade Area (AfCFTA) which
provides a unique and valuable platform for businesses to access an
integrated African market of over 1.3 billion people. The growing middle
class, among other factors, constitutes a huge market potential in
Africa. The African continent currently has enormous potential as a
market, and some experts say it is the last business frontier.
Many
African countries are enacting economic reforms, demand is growing for
high-quality, competitive products. Russian businesses are interested in
this niche, but Russians are extremely slow. The snail-pace approach
reflects their inability to determine financial instruments for
supporting trade with and investment in Africa.
Accentuating
the importance of multilateral cooperation between Russia and Africa,
Advisor to the President of the Russian Federation, Anton Kobyakov,
said: "The current situation in the world is such that we are witnesses
to the formation of new centers of economic growth in Africa.
Competition for African markets is growing accordingly. There is no
doubt that Russia's non-commodity exporters will benefit from
cooperating with Africa on manufacturing, technologies, finances, trade,
and investment."
Kobyakov
further pointed to modern Russia, which already has experience of
successful cooperation with African countries under its belt, is ready
to make an offer to the African continent that will secure mutually
beneficial partnership and the joint realization of decades of
painstaking work carried out by several generations of Soviet and
Russian people.
With
its impressive relations, Russia has not pledged publicly concrete
funds toward implementing its policy objectives in Africa. Moreover,
Russian officials have ignored the fact that Russia's overall economic
engagement is largely staggering, various business agreements signed are
still not fullfilled, with many African countries.
Agreements
and business negotiations resulted into 92 agreements, contracts and
memoranda of understanding. Summit documents say a total of RUB 1.004
trillion ((US$12.5 bn) worth of agreements were signed at that
highly-praised historic summit in October 2019.
Large
Russian companies have been unsuccessful with their projects,
negatively reflecting the real motives for bilateral economic
cooperation. There are several examples such as Rosatom in South Africa,
Norrick Nickel in Botswana, Ajeokuta Steel Plant in Nigeria, Mining
projects in Uganda and Zimbabwe, Lukoil in Cameroon, Nigeria and Sierra
Leone. Currently, Russia is invisible in spheres providing
infrastructures in Africa.
Undoubtedly,
a number of Russian companies have largely underperformed in Africa,
experts described was primarily due to multiple reasons. Most often,
Russian investors strike important investment niches that still require
long-term strategies and adequate country study. Grappling with reality,
there are many investment challenges including official bureaucracy in
Africa.
In
order to ensure business safety and consequently taking steps to
realize the primary goals, it is necessary to attain some level of
understanding the priorities of the country, investment legislations,
comply with terms of agreement and a careful study of policy changes,
particularly when there is a sudden change in government.
What
is abundantly clear is how to stimulate African governments into
exploring investment opportunities in Russia and also Russian investors
into Africa within some framework of mutual cooperation. In order to to
facilitate both Russian and African economic operators to have access to
each other's markets and encourage their participation in large-scale
infrastructure projects must necessarily involve taking progressive
practical steps toward resolving existing obstacles.
That
said, preparations for the second Russia-Africa summit are currently
underway. "The Russian side aims to continue preparing the second, as
well as subsequent Russian-Africa summits and aims to make them as
efficient as possible. The Russian Ministry of Foreign Affairs and other
ministries are taking steps to build a full and mutually beneficial
cooperation between Russia and the African countries, including the
formation of a reliable social and economic infrastructure, food and
energy security on the continent," said Oleg Ozerov, Ambassador-at-Large
and Head of the Secretariat of the Russia-Africa Partnership Forum.
Worth
saying here that African leaders are waiting to cut white ribbons
marking the successful completion of Russian-managed something. Really
it is time to swift from rhetoric and move on towards implementing the
package of bilateral agreements especially those involving
infrastructure investments, determine financing concrete projects and
deliver on decade-old pledges to the people of Africa.
While
Russian and African leaders have common positions on the global
platform, there is also the need to recognize and appreciate the welfare
of 1.3 billion population, majority impoverished, in Africa.
Significant to suggest that with new horizons of the polycentric world
order is emerging and steadily unfolding, active engagement of the
African youth, civil society leaders and active changemakers in the
middle-class into policy efforts becomes definitely necessary.
With
the youth's education, some experts are still critical. Gordey
Yastrebov, a Postdoctoral Researcher and Lecturer at the Institute for
Sociology and Social Psychology at the University of Cologne (Germany),
argues in an email interview discussion that "education can be a tool
for geopolitical influence in general, and for changing perceptions
specifically, and Russia (just like any other country) could use it for
that same purpose. However, Russia isn't doing anything substantial on
this front, at least there is no consistent effort with obvious outcomes
that would make me think so. There are no large-scale investment
programs in education focusing on this."
He
explains that Russian education can become appealing these days, but
given that Russia can no longer boast any significant scientific and
technological achievements. Western educational and scientific paradigm
embraces cooperation and critical independent thinking, whereas this is
not the case with the Russian paradigm, which is becoming more
isolationist and authoritarian. Obviously by now, Africa should look up
to more successful examples elsewhere, perhaps in the United States and
Europe.
As
the official Russia's Ministry of Foreign Affairs website indicated -
it is evident that the significant potential of the economic cooperation
is far from being exhausted, much remains to be done in creating
conditions necessary for interaction between Russia and Africa. At a
meeting of the Ministry's Collegium, Lavrov unreservedly suggested
taking a chapter on the approach and methods adopted by China in Africa,
and that was back in 2019.
Now
at the crossroad, it could be meadering and longer than expected to
make the mark. Russia's return journey could take another generation to
reach destination Africa. With the current changing geopolitical world,
Russia has been stripped of as a member of many international
organizations. As a direct result of Russia's "special military
operation" aims at "demilitarization and denazification" since late
February, Russia has come under a raft of sanctions imposed by the
United States and Canada, European Union, Japan, Australia, New Zealand
and a host of other countries.
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Russia-African Relations in the Context of Geopolitical Changes
By Kestér Kenn Klomegâh Russia would have to go beyond its traditional rhetoric of Soviet assistance rendered to Africa. It is important now to highlight concrete success stories and policy achievements, at least, during the past dec